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Rain in Spain and Sad, Sorry State of Climate-Change Speculation

Reduce Flooding — Fri, 01 Nov 2024 00:30:32 +0000

10/31/24 – An extreme rainfall event near Valencia in southern Spain on Tuesday this week fueled a spate of hasty climate change stories. But was that the cause of the flooding? A year’s worth of rain fell in a day. The area has an average annual rainfall of 17.87 inches. October is their rainiest month with […]

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Forecasters Predict Very Active 2024 Hurricane Season in Gulf

Reduce Flooding — Wed, 13 Mar 2024 18:17:01 +0000

In January, I published a post about a British firm, TropicalStormRisk.com, that predicted an extreme 2024 hurricane season. It’s still early in the year, so any forecasts have a higher-than-normal degree of uncertainty. However, more and more forecasters and model runs are pointing to the alignment of several factors that increase hurricane/tropical activity. They include […]

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Don Becomes First Hurricane of 2023 Atlantic Season

Reduce Flooding — Sat, 22 Jul 2023 22:35:04 +0000

At 2:00 PM EDT on 7/22/23, the National Hurricane Center announced that Tropical Storm Don became Hurricane Don, the first Atlantic storm to achieve hurricane-force winds this year. Not only did Don form earlier than usual, it formed farther north than usual – between New England and Europe. Hurricanes hardly ever form in that area […]

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NHC Predicts Near Normal Hurricane Season

Reduce Flooding — Tue, 30 May 2023 17:00:15 +0000

Hurricane season starts this week. Offsetting factors, some of which would call for an above-normal hurricane season and others of which would call for a below-normal season, led forecasters at the NOAA Climate Prediction Center to split the difference in their seasonal outlook. They are giving almost equal probabilities to average, above-average, and below-average seasons. […]

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Big Picture

Reduce Flooding — Sat, 01 Jan 2022 19:18:25 +0000

It’s always nice to start the new year by looking at the big picture. And big pictures don’t get much bigger than this. The image below comes from NOAA’s Global Data Explorer. It shows sea surface temperature anomalies in the Pacific and Atlantic. Reds show areas with warmer than normal temperatures. Blues are cooler. Degrees […]

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