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On Eve of Hurricane Season, NOAA, NWS, NHC, FEMA Struggle with Cuts

Reduce Flooding — Sun, 01 Jun 2025 04:17:49 +0000

5/31/25 – The 2025 Hurricane Season starts tomorrow, 6/1/25. But ironically, despite predictions of an above-average season, the federal agencies that help forecast hurricanes, issue warnings, and provide disaster relief are struggling with significant funding, staff and program cuts. Poignant Letter in New York Times Michael Lowry, who served as a senior scientist at the […]

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2024 Climate Records, Near Records

Reduce Flooding — Fri, 17 Jan 2025 22:36:28 +0000

1/17/25 – According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), 2024 was a year for climate records and near records. 2024 was the: Graphic Recap of 2024’s Most Significant Climate and Weather Events The maps below come from the NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI). The first shows significant climate events during 2024. […]

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Looking Back at the 2024 Hurricane Season

Reduce Flooding — Sun, 01 Dec 2024 17:14:49 +0000

12/1/24 – The 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season ended yesterday. The season predicted to be “extreme” turned out to be “above average,” according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC). The Atlantic basin, which includes the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico, saw 18 named storms in 2024. Of the 18, 11 became hurricanes and five became major […]

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2024 Hurricane Season Update, PTC 5 Status and Learning Resources

Reduce Flooding — Mon, 12 Aug 2024 18:33:30 +0000

8/12/24 – An August 8 update to NOAA’s 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook still calls for an extremely active hurricane season with 17-24 named storms, including four so far with a fifth brewing in the Atlantic. The main difference between this and NOAA’s May predictions? A higher confidence level. The main factors that affect the […]

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NOAA Issues Highest Hurricane Season Forecast Ever

Reduce Flooding — Thu, 23 May 2024 17:34:33 +0000

May 23, 2024 – This morning, NOAA issued its highest hurricane season forecast ever. The extreme predictions are consistent with earlier forecasts by other organizations. They also exceed NOAA’s own forecasts from 2005 and 2010, two previous record-setting years. NOAA’s forecast underscores the importance of starting your preparations early. Hurricane season begins next week. Reasons […]

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How Bad Was That Storm?

Reduce Flooding — Sat, 27 Jan 2024 16:34:10 +0000

A week of rain has ended. Flood crests are passing. And many are asking, “How bad was that storm?” The short answer to the question: depending on where you live in the region, you got a 1- to 5-year rainfall. Why is that? And how do you determine it? It’s simple. Let’s start with the […]

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2023 Hurricane Season Ranked 4th in Named Storms

Reduce Flooding — Wed, 06 Dec 2023 23:38:10 +0000

Adapted from NOAA Post: The above-normal 2023 Atlantic hurricane season officially ended on Nov. 30. It was characterized by record-warm Atlantic sea-surface temperatures, a strong El Niño, and the fourth highest number of named storms in a season. 20 Named Storms, One of Which was Unnamed The Atlantic basin saw 20 named storms in 2023. […]

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Here Come New Precipitation-Frequency Estimates…Again

Reduce Flooding — Tue, 05 Sep 2023 21:12:16 +0000

NOAA’s new Atlas 15 precipitation-frequency estimates will soon replace recently introduced Atlas 14 estimates – even before the Atlas 14 estimates have been fully adopted and integrated into local regulations. About Precipitation-Frequency Estimates Engineers use precipitation-frequency estimates to design, plan and manage infrastructure under Federal, State and local regulations. For instance, to ensure homes are […]

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NOAA Increases 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast

Reduce Flooding — Fri, 11 Aug 2023 22:14:09 +0000

Reprinted from the National Hurricane Center website with some additions. Scientists at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center — a division of the National Weather Service — have increased their prediction for the ongoing 2023 Atlantic hurricane season from a near-normal level of activity to an above-normal level of activity. Forecasters believe that current ocean and atmospheric conditions, such as record-warm […]

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Don Becomes First Hurricane of 2023 Atlantic Season

Reduce Flooding — Sat, 22 Jul 2023 22:35:04 +0000

At 2:00 PM EDT on 7/22/23, the National Hurricane Center announced that Tropical Storm Don became Hurricane Don, the first Atlantic storm to achieve hurricane-force winds this year. Not only did Don form earlier than usual, it formed farther north than usual – between New England and Europe. Hurricanes hardly ever form in that area […]

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Necessary Ingredients for a Tropical Cyclone

Reduce Flooding — Sat, 22 Jul 2023 16:56:14 +0000

This morning I visited the National Hurricane Center website to see the latest tropical developments. The Houston Area has nothing to worry about at the moment. But while I was on the NHC website, I stumbled on an incredible resource. It discussed – among other things – the necessary ingredients for a tropical cyclone. It’s […]

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Hurricane Season Above Average So Far

Reduce Flooding — Wed, 05 Jul 2023 15:32:13 +0000

NOAA’s National Hurricane Center issues a monthly Atlantic Tropical Weather Summary during hurricane season. For June 2023, it shows above normal tropical cyclone activity and and above normal accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) for the North Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico. #4 for Year and Counting Three named tropical storms (Arlene, Bret, and Cindy) formed […]

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NHC Predicts Near Normal Hurricane Season

Reduce Flooding — Tue, 30 May 2023 17:00:15 +0000

Hurricane season starts this week. Offsetting factors, some of which would call for an above-normal hurricane season and others of which would call for a below-normal season, led forecasters at the NOAA Climate Prediction Center to split the difference in their seasonal outlook. They are giving almost equal probabilities to average, above-average, and below-average seasons. […]

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Hurricane Hunter Expo at Ellington Draws Crowd

Reduce Flooding — Mon, 01 May 2023 22:47:53 +0000

To kick off National Hurricane Preparedness week, the U.S. government sent two hurricane hunter aircraft to Ellington Field today. It was a rare opportunity for the public to interact with crews and support staff, and to tour some impressive displays of technology. See pics below. Hurricane Hunter Aircraft on Display at Ellington Field The versatile […]

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Mark Your Calendar: Tour Hurricane Hunter Aircraft on May 1

Reduce Flooding — Wed, 19 Apr 2023 00:36:06 +0000

NOAA, the National Weather Service and the Hurricane Hunters will sponsor a public tour of Hurricane Hunter aircraft at Ellington Field on Monday, May 1, 2023. It’s all part of a Hurricane Awareness Tour open to the public. What You Can Do: Tour the NOAA-P3 and the USAF C130 Hurricane Hunter aircraft. Mingle with the pilots […]

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NWS Says La Niña Has Ended, Likely Impact on Weather

Reduce Flooding — Thu, 09 Mar 2023 19:30:11 +0000

On March 9, 2023, the Climate Prediction Center of the National Weather Service (NWS) announced that La Niña conditions which persisted for 3-years have finally ended. But we are not shifting directly into El Niño. Instead, we’re entering a transitional phase. NWS expects neutral conditions to continue through the Northern Hemisphere into spring and early […]

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Why Hurricanes Often Track Like Boomerangs

Reduce Flooding — Thu, 01 Sep 2022 01:21:14 +0000

Ever wonder why so many hurricanes track like boomerangs? They don’t all follow this pattern, of course, but when you look at the 1370 hurricanes between 1851 and 2006, a pattern clearly emerges. Interaction of Complex Systems In my research, I found several possible explanations for the pattern above. Harris County Meteorologist Jeff Lindner provided […]

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Hurricane Records

Reduce Flooding — Sat, 09 Jul 2022 00:27:26 +0000

Today, I discovered a fascinating 49-page document produced by the National Weather Service, the National Hurricane Center, NOAA and the National Climatic Data Center. It contains hurricane records going back to 1851. It covers the deadliest, costliest and most intense U.S. tropical cyclones and other frequently requested facts. Unfortunately, it only goes through 2010. But […]

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Severe Weather Threat Increasing for Tomorrow, Up to 7″ Now Possible

Reduce Flooding — Sun, 20 Mar 2022 21:05:35 +0000

Severe Weather, Flash Flood Likelihood Increasing for Monday Afternoon into Early Tuesday Updated at 7:30 PM: According to Jeff Lindner, Harris County Meteorologist, a powerful storm will move into Texas over the next 24 hours bringing multiple hazards to the area. The chances of severe weather and heavy rainfall by Monday afternoon and evening continue […]

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Big Picture

Reduce Flooding — Sat, 01 Jan 2022 19:18:25 +0000

It’s always nice to start the new year by looking at the big picture. And big pictures don’t get much bigger than this. The image below comes from NOAA’s Global Data Explorer. It shows sea surface temperature anomalies in the Pacific and Atlantic. Reds show areas with warmer than normal temperatures. Blues are cooler. Degrees […]

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