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On Eve of Hurricane Season, NOAA, NWS, NHC, FEMA Struggle with Cuts

Reduce Flooding — Sun, 01 Jun 2025 04:17:49 +0000

5/31/25 – The 2025 Hurricane Season starts tomorrow, 6/1/25. But ironically, despite predictions of an above-average season, the federal agencies that help forecast hurricanes, issue warnings, and provide disaster relief are struggling with significant funding, staff and program cuts. Poignant Letter in New York Times Michael Lowry, who served as a senior scientist at the […]

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Looking Back at the 2024 Hurricane Season

Reduce Flooding — Sun, 01 Dec 2024 17:14:49 +0000

12/1/24 – The 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season ended yesterday. The season predicted to be “extreme” turned out to be “above average,” according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC). The Atlantic basin, which includes the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico, saw 18 named storms in 2024. Of the 18, 11 became hurricanes and five became major […]

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Milton Could Be One of Most Destructive Hurricanes On Record

Reduce Flooding — Tue, 08 Oct 2024 21:23:38 +0000

10/8/24 4 PM – As if the pictures of Helene’s aftermath weren’t enough, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) says that “Milton has the potential to be one of the most destructive hurricanes on record for west-central Florida.” Milton weakened to a Category 4 overnight during an eye wall replacement cycle and is now regaining strength […]

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Helene Will Be One of Largest Hurricanes in Decades

Reduce Flooding — Thu, 26 Sep 2024 16:41:13 +0000

9/26/24 as of 10 AM – According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC), Helene is rapidly becoming one of the “largest hurricanes in decades.” Comparing Helene to previous hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico, they say, “Helene is at the upper bound in terms of size.” Widespread Impacts, “Immense Human Suffering” Helene’s hurricane-force winds extend outward […]

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TS Helene Pushing North, Intensifying, Expanding

Reduce Flooding — Tue, 24 Sep 2024 18:03:34 +0000

9/24/24 at 1 PM – This morning, Potential Tropical Cyclone 9 became Tropical Storm Helene when satellite images and Hurricane Hunter aircraft data noted a well-defined center of circulation and sustained winds of 45 MPH with higher gusts. Helene is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph and will likely continue to do so through early […]

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NHC Issues Advisory on Potential Tropical Cyclone 9

Reduce Flooding — Mon, 23 Sep 2024 17:40:59 +0000

9/23/24 at 12 PM – The National Hurricane Center has designated a disturbance in the northwestern Caribbean as Potential Tropical Cyclone 9. Currently, NHC gives storm a 90% chance of development in the next two days. According to Harris County Meteorologist Jeff Lindner, models indicate it will likely escalate into a Category 4 hurricane as […]

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Latest NHC Forecasts Show Francine Aiming for Louisiana

Reduce Flooding — Tue, 10 Sep 2024 21:41:51 +0000

9/10/24 – Update: At 7 PM, the National Hurricane Center announced that Francine became a hurricane with sustained winds of 75 MPH and higher gusts. By 10:20, hurricane hunter aircraft found sustained winds of 85 MPH with central pressure of 979 mb. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles from the center and tropical-storm-force […]

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TS Francine Will Now Likely Strike East of Houston

Reduce Flooding — Mon, 09 Sep 2024 19:29:58 +0000

9/9/24 At 2 PM – This morning Potential Tropical Cyclone 6 intensified and formed a center of circulation. With winds currently at 60 MPH, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) named it Tropical Storm Francine. NHC expects it to intensify into a hurricane tomorrow. Francine’s current predicted track will take it inland over Louisiana. At the […]

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2024 Hurricane Season Update, PTC 5 Status and Learning Resources

Reduce Flooding — Mon, 12 Aug 2024 18:33:30 +0000

8/12/24 – An August 8 update to NOAA’s 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook still calls for an extremely active hurricane season with 17-24 named storms, including four so far with a fifth brewing in the Atlantic. The main difference between this and NOAA’s May predictions? A higher confidence level. The main factors that affect the […]

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NHC Issues Advisory on Potential Tropical Cyclone 4

Reduce Flooding — Fri, 02 Aug 2024 22:35:29 +0000

8/2/24 5PM – The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has issued an advisory about Potential Tropical Cyclone 4. It affects people on the west coast of Florida for now. Since yesterday, models have come into closer alignment. There is now a higher degree of certainty that the PTC4 will track up the west coast of Florida, […]

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New Forecasts Show Latest Disturbance Now Moving Toward Gulf

Reduce Flooding — Thu, 01 Aug 2024 15:56:49 +0000

According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC), a well-defined tropical wave is now moving toward the Gulf. This represents a significant change from earlier predictions that took the storm east of Florida. The system is currently producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the southwestern Atlantic and northeastern Caribbean Sea. Development Chances […]

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Beryl Becomes Earliest Cat 5 Hurricane Ever

Reduce Flooding — Tue, 02 Jul 2024 14:46:44 +0000

7/2/24 – Beryl has become an incredibly intense hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 165 MPH and a central pressure of 935mb. See this Infrared Satellite Loop at Tropical Tidbits. This is an unprecedented hurricane event for July. According to Harris County Meteorologist Jeff Lindner, Beryl is the earliest Category 5 hurricane on record since 1851. […]

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Beryl Goes from Tropical Storm to Cat 4 in One Day

Reduce Flooding — Sun, 30 Jun 2024 21:40:09 +0000

6/30/24, 4 PM – Beryl intensified from a tropical storm yesterday morning to a category 4 hurricane with 130 mph winds this afternoon. Elsewhere, Tropical Depression #3 has formed in the Bay of Campeche. NHC predicts it will become a tropical storm by tonight and make landfall near where Alberto did in Mexico less than […]

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Beryl Expected to Become Category 4 Hurricane

Reduce Flooding — Sun, 30 Jun 2024 11:55:34 +0000

6/30/24, 7 AM CDT – The National Hurricane Center (NHC) now predicts that Hurricane Beryl could rapidly intensify into a Category 4 hurricane before reaching the Windward Islands early Monday morning. At 7 AM CDT, NHC estimated Beryl’s maximum sustained winds at 115 mph. That would currently make it a Category 3 hurricane on the […]

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Alberto, First Named Storm of Season, Lashes Mexico, South TX

Reduce Flooding — Wed, 19 Jun 2024 17:00:38 +0000

6/19/24 – Potential Tropical Cyclone #1 just became Tropical Storm Alberto, according to the National Hurricane Center’s (NHC) 10 AM update. Alberto will reach the coast of northeast Mexico early tomorrow morning. Texas Impacts from Alberto Until then, the entire Texas Coast up to San Luis Pass is under a tropical storm warning. Residents can […]

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Hurricane Center Posts First Tropical Threats of Season for Gulf

Reduce Flooding — Thu, 13 Jun 2024 12:06:56 +0000

6/13/24 – NOAA’s National Hurricane Center’s 7-day outlook shows the first tropical threats of the season for the Gulf of Mexico and Atlantic. That orange area in the Bay of Campeche carries a 40% risk of formation within 7 days. According to NHC forecasters, “A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over […]

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Tropics Show More Activity, Higher Probabilities since Yesterday

Reduce Flooding — Sat, 19 Aug 2023 22:07:23 +0000

What a difference a day makes! Yesterday, the Atlantic Basin had four areas of concern. Today, it has five. And, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC), the chances of tropical development have increased for all of them since yesterday. See the seven-day outlook for the Atlantic Basin below and note the time: Saturday, August […]

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Tropical Forecast Suddenly More Active

Reduce Flooding — Fri, 18 Aug 2023 14:58:23 +0000

Still three weeks from the peak of hurricane season (September 10), the tropical forecast has suddenly become more active. The latest seven-day outlook from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) shows four areas of concern. Two will not affect the Texas Gulf Coast. Eventually, the other two could get close. Chances of Tropical Formation According to […]

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NOAA Increases 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast

Reduce Flooding — Fri, 11 Aug 2023 22:14:09 +0000

Reprinted from the National Hurricane Center website with some additions. Scientists at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center — a division of the National Weather Service — have increased their prediction for the ongoing 2023 Atlantic hurricane season from a near-normal level of activity to an above-normal level of activity. Forecasters believe that current ocean and atmospheric conditions, such as record-warm […]

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Don Becomes First Hurricane of 2023 Atlantic Season

Reduce Flooding — Sat, 22 Jul 2023 22:35:04 +0000

At 2:00 PM EDT on 7/22/23, the National Hurricane Center announced that Tropical Storm Don became Hurricane Don, the first Atlantic storm to achieve hurricane-force winds this year. Not only did Don form earlier than usual, it formed farther north than usual – between New England and Europe. Hurricanes hardly ever form in that area […]

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