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Helene Will Be One of Largest Hurricanes in Decades

Reduce Flooding — Thu, 26 Sep 2024 16:41:13 +0000

9/26/24 as of 10 AM – According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC), Helene is rapidly becoming one of the “largest hurricanes in decades.” Comparing Helene to previous hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico, they say, “Helene is at the upper bound in terms of size.” Widespread Impacts, “Immense Human Suffering” Helene’s hurricane-force winds extend outward […]

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NHC Issues Advisory on Potential Tropical Cyclone 9

Reduce Flooding — Mon, 23 Sep 2024 17:40:59 +0000

9/23/24 at 12 PM – The National Hurricane Center has designated a disturbance in the northwestern Caribbean as Potential Tropical Cyclone 9. Currently, NHC gives storm a 90% chance of development in the next two days. According to Harris County Meteorologist Jeff Lindner, models indicate it will likely escalate into a Category 4 hurricane as […]

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Latest NHC Forecasts Show Francine Aiming for Louisiana

Reduce Flooding — Tue, 10 Sep 2024 21:41:51 +0000

9/10/24 – Update: At 7 PM, the National Hurricane Center announced that Francine became a hurricane with sustained winds of 75 MPH and higher gusts. By 10:20, hurricane hunter aircraft found sustained winds of 85 MPH with central pressure of 979 mb. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles from the center and tropical-storm-force […]

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TS Francine Will Now Likely Strike East of Houston

Reduce Flooding — Mon, 09 Sep 2024 19:29:58 +0000

9/9/24 At 2 PM – This morning Potential Tropical Cyclone 6 intensified and formed a center of circulation. With winds currently at 60 MPH, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) named it Tropical Storm Francine. NHC expects it to intensify into a hurricane tomorrow. Francine’s current predicted track will take it inland over Louisiana. At the […]

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New Forecasts Show Latest Disturbance Now Moving Toward Gulf

Reduce Flooding — Thu, 01 Aug 2024 15:56:49 +0000

According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC), a well-defined tropical wave is now moving toward the Gulf. This represents a significant change from earlier predictions that took the storm east of Florida. The system is currently producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the southwestern Atlantic and northeastern Caribbean Sea. Development Chances […]

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Beryl Becomes Earliest Cat 5 Hurricane Ever

Reduce Flooding — Tue, 02 Jul 2024 14:46:44 +0000

7/2/24 – Beryl has become an incredibly intense hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 165 MPH and a central pressure of 935mb. See this Infrared Satellite Loop at Tropical Tidbits. This is an unprecedented hurricane event for July. According to Harris County Meteorologist Jeff Lindner, Beryl is the earliest Category 5 hurricane on record since 1851. […]

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Flash Flooding Chances Increase for Tuesday, Wednesday

Reduce Flooding — Sun, 16 Jun 2024 15:09:52 +0000

6/16/24 – 8 PM update – As of 8 PM, the National Hurricane Center has increased the chances of tropical formation to 70% from 50% for the disturbance in the Bay of Campeche. Excessive rainfall and flash flooding chances are increasing for the middle part of the week. Coastal counties could see 8-11 inches in […]

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Does Wet Spring Portend Intense Hurricane Season?

Reduce Flooding — Sun, 12 May 2024 18:41:24 +0000

Does a wetter-than-normal spring say anything about Houston’s chances for a busier-than-normal hurricane season? According to Jeff Linder, Harris County’s meteorologist, the two correlate poorly. In the process of exploring that, I discovered some surprising facts about the intensity and seasonality of rainfall in the region. So Far, Not So Much Wetter than Normal “Harris […]

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Lake Conroe Increasing Release Rate After Torrential Rain

Reduce Flooding — Thu, 02 May 2024 15:54:25 +0000

5/2/24 Noon Update: Since publishing this, Lake Conroe has continued to rise and the SJRA has increased the release rate to 66,100 CFS. – Heavy storms dumped 10-12 inches of rain in isolated areas north of Lake Conroe last night. Most areas experienced 5-7 inches. As a result, Lake Conroe has increased its release rate […]

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April 10th Storm Dumps 12-17 Inches in 12 Hours East of Houston

Reduce Flooding — Thu, 11 Apr 2024 23:19:52 +0000

The April 10th storm that swept through Houston during the early morning hours dumped amazing amounts of rainfall just east of here. A report received today from Harris County Meteorologist Jeff Lindner says that the April 10th storm dumped 12-17 inches of rain in a 12 hour period in a swatch across East Texas. The […]

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Upstream Watersheds’ Relative Contributions to Lake Houston Area Flooding

Reduce Flooding — Sun, 10 Mar 2024 19:53:30 +0000

What are upstream watersheds’ relative contributions to Lake Houston Area Flooding? During a flood, where does all the water come from? Of course, it depends on how much rain falls where and when, and how long it takes to concentrate downstream. Rainfall is rarely uniform across an entire region. But still, when considering hundreds of […]

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For Most, Life Returned to Normal Today, But Flooding Is Not Done Yet

Reduce Flooding — Fri, 26 Jan 2024 00:01:56 +0000

5PM 1/25/24 – After four days of near constant rainfall, life returned to normal this morning. The sun came out. Birds sang. But for some, the ordeal is not done yet. Crests on several creeks and area rivers are moving downstream and should converge on the Lake Houston Area this weekend. According to Harris County […]

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Heavy Rainfall, Hail, High Winds, Tornados, Street Flooding Possible Today

Reduce Flooding — Thu, 30 Nov 2023 13:36:08 +0000

The National Weather Service (NWS) Storm Prediction Center and Harris County have issued outlooks for today that include risks of heavy rainfall, hail, high winds, tornadoes and street flooding. NWS predicts an “enhanced risk” of severe weather (3 on a scale of 5) with a 10%-14% chance of tornados. NWS rates the excessive, heavy rainfall […]

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Don Becomes First Hurricane of 2023 Atlantic Season

Reduce Flooding — Sat, 22 Jul 2023 22:35:04 +0000

At 2:00 PM EDT on 7/22/23, the National Hurricane Center announced that Tropical Storm Don became Hurricane Don, the first Atlantic storm to achieve hurricane-force winds this year. Not only did Don form earlier than usual, it formed farther north than usual – between New England and Europe. Hurricanes hardly ever form in that area […]

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Intro to Flooding in Southeast Texas

Reduce Flooding — Sun, 26 Mar 2023 19:23:45 +0000

Jeff Lindner, Harris County’s Meteorologist, has produced an excellent 20-minute video that explains flooding in Southeast Texas and how you can increase your situational awareness during extreme weather events. It’s now on YouTube and is called “Understanding Flooding in Southeast Texas.” Brief Outline of Video The video begins with a description of things that make […]

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HCFCD Issues Reports on Late January Flooding, Tornados

Reduce Flooding — Wed, 08 Feb 2023 17:53:38 +0000

Jeff Lindner, Harris County Meteorologist, has issued a report on January flooding, heavy rainfall and a significant tornado on January 24, 2023. He also released intensity tables for 24th to the 31st. They help us understand the cumulative impact of back-to-back heavy rainfalls on the 24th and 29th. Overview Says Lindner, “Early on the 24th, surface low […]

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Powerful Thanksgiving Storms Could Bring Flooding

Reduce Flooding — Wed, 23 Nov 2022 23:09:13 +0000

Rainfall predictions associated with approaching Thanksgiving storms keep increasing. Jeff Lindner, Harris County’s meteorologist now says approaching storms will bring widespread impacts from Thursday through Saturday. He also warns that heavy rainfall may lead to street flooding and rises on area creeks/bayous. Models now show a band of 5-7 inches of rain in places. Thursday […]

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Strong Thunderstorms, Street Flooding, Tornados Possible Tomorrow

Reduce Flooding — Thu, 27 Oct 2022 19:16:18 +0000

Tomorrow will likely bring strong thunderstorms. Rainfall rates could exceed the capacity of street drains leading to localized street flooding. And the severe weather may also spin up some tornados, according to Harris County’s meteorologist and the National Weather Service (NWS). Heavy Rainfall NWS predicts two to three inches of rain could fall on Friday, […]

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NHC Gives 40% Chance of Formation to 91L Within 5 Days

Reduce Flooding — Mon, 03 Oct 2022 16:33:41 +0000

Another tropical wave is moving into the Caribbean along the same track as Ian. As of Monday morning at 8 a.m., the National Hurricane Center gives it a 40% chance of developing within 5 days. Currently, the tropical wave is several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands and moving westward at 15-20mph. The NHC […]

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Why Hurricanes Often Track Like Boomerangs

Reduce Flooding — Thu, 01 Sep 2022 01:21:14 +0000

Ever wonder why so many hurricanes track like boomerangs? They don’t all follow this pattern, of course, but when you look at the 1370 hurricanes between 1851 and 2006, a pattern clearly emerges. Interaction of Complex Systems In my research, I found several possible explanations for the pattern above. Harris County Meteorologist Jeff Lindner provided […]

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