2024 Hurricane Season

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Looking Back at the 2024 Hurricane Season

12/1/24 – The 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season ended yesterday. The season predicted to be “extreme” turned out to be “above average,” according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC). The Atlantic basin, which includes the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico, saw 18 named storms in 2024. Of the 18, 11 became hurricanes and five became major […]

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It Ain’t Over Till It’s Over

10/14/24 – Looking at the National Hurricane Center’s afternoon update, Yogi Berra’s famous quote comes to mind – “It ain’t over till it’s over.” Of course, Yogi was speaking of baseball and I’m speaking of the 2024 hurricane season. NHC posted a new 7-day outlook at 1:28 this afternoon showing two areas of concern. One […]

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2024 Hurricane Season YTD vs Average, Projections

9/30/2024 – Most forecasters predicted the 2024 hurricane season would be a monster, based on high sea-surface temperatures, Accumulated Cyclone Energy and a developing La Niña. But so far, judging by the numbers, the season has been close to average. I compiled the tables below through data on the National Hurricane Center archives and news […]

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Third Named Storm Puts 2024 Hurricane Season a Month Ahead

7/1/24. – Last night, Tropical Storm Chris became the third named storm of the 2024 hurricane season. According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC), the third named storm usually doesn’t happen until August. That puts the current hurricane season well ahead of the 30-year average for the Atlantic Basin. Climatology Data from NHC Data from […]

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Forecasters Predict Very Active 2024 Hurricane Season in Gulf

In January, I published a post about a British firm, TropicalStormRisk.com, that predicted an extreme 2024 hurricane season. It’s still early in the year, so any forecasts have a higher-than-normal degree of uncertainty. However, more and more forecasters and model runs are pointing to the alignment of several factors that increase hurricane/tropical activity. They include […]

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Extreme 2024 Hurricane Season Predicted

A British website, TropicalStormRisk.com, which has won insurance industry awards for its accuracy, predicts that North Atlantic hurricane activity in 2024 will be more than 50% above the long-term average and 30% above the average for the last three decades. The website claims it has the best performing statistical seasonal forecast model at all lead […]

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