Not having Yuli at 1st – how will that affect our defense?

How big will not having Yuli at first base, affect our defense? He saved so many outs/runs with his picks at 1st, especially from Pena (would Pena have gotten his golden glove if Yuli wasn't there?). Jose Abreu is not as good defensively, and will most likely not prevent nearly as many errors from the other infielders, as Yuli did. These errors lead to worst defensive metrics, and ultimately runs.

I love Yuli, but (of course) Jose Abreu is better overall for the team.

So are we assuming that our defensive metrics will get worse, our runs against will increase, but our runs scored should increase to counter?

Or, am I overemphasizing Yuli's impact on our defense, and we're going to be the same, or better on defense?

I wonder if there will be less throwing errors without the shift, as the players will have more similar throws as they stay in the same general area/position more. Or maybe there will be more, because they will be on the move more? idk.