ALCS Game 2 Pitchers
I've flipped though both teams to try to figure out which pitchers will be the most likely to see tonight.
Severino and Valdez are starting. So they are a given. That leaves 12 other eligible pitchers for each team who could see action tonight.
Based on recent Workloads my best guesses are
| Astros – No | Astros – Unlikely | Astros – Likely |
|---|---|---|
| Verlander | Garcia | Abreu |
| McCullers | Javier | Stanek |
| Montero | Urquidy* | |
| Pressley* | Brown | |
| Neris* | Martinez |
Pressley got 4 outs last night, and Neris pitched as well. I think they are more likely than the rest of their category, but they will be avoided if possible.
Urquidy also is a complete unknown to me. He is the only pitcher on the ALDS roster we still haven't used
I think Javier and Garcia are being avoided if possible since 1 of them will be used to start game 4 with the other one on standby in case it's a short start
Montero had the roughest time of all of our pitchers and is likely unavailable unless necessary as a result
Abreu and Stanek are likely our primary leverage guys tonight, with Brown ready to go if Framber struggles to go deep.
I expect to see Martinez if we have an inning where the bottom of the order is lined up. He needs to see major league hitting again, but would probably be best to let him prove himself on the part that isn't filled with super stars.
Again, don't be surprised to see Pressley or Neris if the situation is right, but I think we only use either in a more limitted role than last night. We do have the off day tomorrow, so if the situation demands them I think Dusty is willing to go back to back (especially with Pressley)
| Yankees – No | Yankees – Unlikely | Yankees – Likely |
|---|---|---|
| Cole | Trivino | German |
| Cortes | Montas | Holmes |
| Taillon | Castro | Peralta |
| Loaisiga | Weissert | |
| Schmidt |
The Yankees best leverage arms are Holmes & Peralta, with Schmidt being # 3
Schmidt threw more pitches than ideal, and took the L last night. They probably attempt to avoid him if possible.
Trivino tossed 2 innings yesterday, so I wouldn't expect to see him come out again today.
Montas isn't particularly used to going out of the pen, so I would be shocked to see them do it 2 days in a row with him, unless the game goes to extras
Castro & Loaisiga are a little harder to pin. Castro pitched last night, with Loaigisa going the night prior (for 2 innings). Both have an ERA + under 100, so I feel like they are more likely to both get a rest day, so you can guarantee they only pitch at max strength. I'd say Loaisiga is the more likely of the 2, but I am not expecting either to show up today.
German is there in case the pitcher gets plucked early. I'd love to see him in the second lol, but I don't know how early they'd have to pull a guy to see him.
Again, Holmes and Peralta are the best arms in the pen and neither pitched last night, so I expect them to make an appearance, especially with the off day tomorrow, no reason not to.
Finally, Weissert is the only reliever they have (outside of German) who hasn't pitched in either of the last 2 back to back games. He's arguably the worst pitcher on the roster for them (which is our weakness) But for a Bullpen that's not fully rested, I expect him to get an inning against the bottom of our lineup if the situation is right.
My final prediction for Bullpen use tonight (just putting both sides at 9 innings)
| Astros | Yankees |
|---|---|
| Framber (6IP) | Severino (4IP) |
| Stanek (1IP) (I think this ining will be against the top/middle of the lineup) | Weissert (1IP) |
| Martinez(1IP) (I think this inning will be against the Bottom of the lineup) | Peralta (2IP) |
| Abreu/Pressley (1IP) | German IF Peralta only goes (2IP) |
| Loaisiga IF Peralta goes 2 (1IP) | |
| Holmes (1IP) |
One last note. Severino had the least IP out of all their starting pitchers lined up to start games in the post season. So I do not excpect him to go particularly deep, expect to see german throw possibly 4 if we get him Severino out in under 3 since they don't have a lot of depth to bridge with right now.
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