Astros after the Dodgers sweep and outlook going forward.

The July 6th sweep of the Dodgers had us 20 games above .500 at 55-35 (99-win pace) and 6.5 games up. In the 37 games after we are 14-22 (63-win pace) and 1.5 games up.

We went from scoring 4.4 runs a game to 3.68 runs and allowing 3.6 runs a game to 5.29.

In that time, the players are as followed.

Diaz: 34 games, 267/423/717, 95 WRC+

Walker: 33 games, 230/393/712, 98 WRC+

Altuve: 36 games, 287/463/822, 128 WRC+

Correa: 17 games, 333/471/859, 143 WRC+

Pena: 16 games, 246/426/739, 102 WRC+

Smith: 34 games, 154/197/428, 22 WRC+

Dubon: 35 games, 278/398/732, 106 WRC+

Sanchez: 18 games, 150/233/436, 20 WRC+ (180/280/506) vs RHP, (0/167/167) vs LHP

Urias: 14 games, 308/462/803, 124 WRC+

Caratini: 30 games,269/366/709, 102 WRC+

McCormic: 25 games, 191/235/544, 50 WRC+

Melton: 9 games, 083/154/237, -31 WRC+

Framber: 7 starts, 4.46 ERA, 2.76 FIP, (LAST 5, 6.14 ERA, 3.35 FIP)

Brown: 8 starts, 3.60 ERA, 3.29 FIP, (LAST 5, 1.5 ERA, 2.48 FIP)

Javier: 2 starts, 3.38 ERA, 4.11 FIP

Abreu: 15 games, 1.72 ERA, 2.54 FIP

LMC: 2 starts, 14.29 ERA, 7.00 FIP

Sousa: 16 games, 4.96 ERA, 4.89 FIP (GAVE UP RUNS IN HALF HIS GAMES)

Arrighetti: 3 starts, 7.90 ERA, 6.70 FIP

Okert: 16 games, 4.58 ERA, 3.17 FP, (GAVE UP RUNS IN 6 OF HIS GAMES)

Alexander: 5 starts, 2.83 ERA, 3.74 FIP

King: 15 games, 2.87 ERA, 4.65 FIP

Dubin: 4 games, 27 ERA, 16.48 FIP

Enyel DLS: 4 games, 0 ERA, 2.26 FIP

Ork: 16 games, 3.00 ERA, 5.58 FIP

Rightfully so there is a lot of doom and gloom. But the offence during this run has 7 or 8 hitters that range from average to very good. But the not good ones are VERY BAD. Realistically you have 5 or 6 starters and 1 or 2 higher use bench bats that are plus. Yordan being close to himself could have a lineup of Diaz-Walker-Altuve-Correa-Pena-Yordon-Chas-Duban-Caratini. Only Chas is weak, and if Meyers is still alive, then we can run out a nearly all plus hitter lineup with bench depth.

Pitching needs Framber to figure it out, and a few guys not to implode and cause the pen to be over used.

Despite the shitty last 40 days, not much has changed as far as 2025 success hopes. We need Javier and/or Garcia to be slightly plus starters (a big ask). Assuming Framber doesn’t suck now, that would be 2 top level starters, and 2 good starters. Alexander and Arrighetti are swing guys. And the pen is worked less and back to normal. And we need Yordan and either Meyers or 1 other outfielder to be average and our offence is good again.

submitted by /u/2nd2last
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